PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

87.43 – 117.87

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

109 – 79

Prediction missed · off by 30.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 270.1 ±11.7

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 51.02Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9057G.I.R.L.

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX -4.78Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 41.19Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 204.4 ±11

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 38.94Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4468Fernbank LINKS

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 17.42Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6772The Marist Manta Rays

Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 61.51Rank 16Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6925, 9057, 832

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6925, 9057, 832

Auto

22.7 28%

Teleop

40.7 50%

Endgame

17.8 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3329, 4468, 6772

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3329, 4468, 6772

Auto

25.4 22%

Teleop

59.4 52%

Endgame

30.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score87.4pts

Blue projected score117.9pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -30.4
Score range: 68–137
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 188 vs event baseline 105.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

270.1Season APEX204.4

22.7Auto25.4

40.7Teleop59.4

17.8Endgame30

23Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	30
teleop	63	26
endgame	15	18
foul	0	5
total	109	79

Result

Final score

109 – 79

Prediction missed · off by 30.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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