PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

266.69 – 55.3

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

293 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 31.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 425.6 ±9.9

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 89.49Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 175.19Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7676THS RoboDogs

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 2.01Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 216.1 ±11.2

7451AvengerRobotics

Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 34.33Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4459LeoTechs

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX 10.68Rank 29Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 10.29Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6829, 2974, 7676

/ 100 compat

Projected

266.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6829, 2974, 7676

Auto

38.0 14%

Teleop

162.1 61%

Endgame

64.8 24%

Strengths

· 2974 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7451, 4459, 3344

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.3 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7451, 4459, 3344

Auto

18.3 37%

Teleop

26.8 55%

Endgame

3.8 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.29 · Blue 0.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score266.7pts

Blue projected score55.3pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 211.4
Score range: 36–286
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 311 vs event baseline 104.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

425.6Season APEX216.1

38Auto18.3

162.1Teleop26.8

64.8Endgame3.8

38Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	10
teleop	195	8
endgame	40	0
foul	10	0
total	293	18

Result

Final score

293 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 31.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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