PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

45.52 – 69.07

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 10.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 143.3 ±11

7676THS RoboDogs

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 1.33Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 9.14Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 35.05Rank 14Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 160.8 ±11

5828Flying Riots

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 7.19Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 41.85Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5608Lassiter Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 20.03Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7676, 3344, 3635

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7676, 3344, 3635

Auto

13.7 31%

Teleop

21.2 48%

Endgame

9.2 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5828, 832, 5608

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5828, 832, 5608

Auto

22.7 35%

Teleop

28.7 44%

Endgame

13.2 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.12 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score45.5pts

Blue projected score69.1pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -23.5
Score range: 27–88
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 135 vs event baseline 105.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

143.3Season APEX160.8

13.7Auto22.7

21.2Teleop28.7

9.2Endgame13.2

68Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	27
teleop	34	25
endgame	16	17
foul	0	0
total	66	69

Result

Final score

66 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 10.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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