PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

150.92 – 21.35

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

184 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 17.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 325.6 ±9.8

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 37.94Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 81.97Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7451AvengerRobotics

Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 31.01Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 76.1 ±13.9

9582HHS NASA Snaggbotics

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX -1.25Rank 25Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4459LeoTechs

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX 10.71Rank 29Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9086Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 27.1Event APEX 11.89Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3329, 4026, 7451

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3329, 4026, 7451

Auto

41.4 29%

Teleop

72.1 50%

Endgame

31.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9582, 4459, 9086

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.4 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9582, 4459, 9086

Auto

12.1 54%

Teleop

5.1 23%

Endgame

5.4 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score150.9pts

Blue projected score21.4pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 129.6
Score range: 2–170
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 204 vs event baseline 105.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

325.6Season APEX76.1

41.4Auto12.1

72.1Teleop5.1

31.5Endgame5.4

25Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	4
teleop	98	12
endgame	27	4
foul	10	0
total	184	20

Result

Final score

184 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 17.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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