PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

69.52 – 243.04

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

77 – 274

Prediction correct · off by 19.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 168.2 ±11.7

6887Dalton Catabots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 34.36Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9057G.I.R.L.

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX -5.14Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1414IHOT

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 40.3Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 447.6 ±10.5

4468Fernbank LINKS

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 21.46Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 49.08Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 172.5Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6887, 9057, 1414

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.5 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6887, 9057, 1414

Auto

15.6 24%

Teleop

36.7 58%

Endgame

11.5 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4468, 6925, 2974

/ 100 compat

Projected

243 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4468, 6925, 2974

Auto

40.3 17%

Teleop

133.0 55%

Endgame

68.7 28%

Strengths

· 2974 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.52 · Blue 2.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69.5pts

Blue projected score243pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -173.5
Score range: 51–262
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 351 vs event baseline 104.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

168.2Season APEX447.6

15.6Auto40.3

36.7Teleop133

11.5Endgame68.7

4Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	51
teleop	26	172
endgame	30	51
foul	0	0
total	77	274

Result

Final score

77 – 274

Prediction correct · off by 19.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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