PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

17.82 – 138.9

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

59 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 46.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 113.6 ±13.3

10376Plutonium Panthers

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 21.55Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7676THS RoboDogs

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX -2.57Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX -1.16Rank 8Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281 ±9.8

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 32.22Rank 14Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 84.96Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5900The Fighting Mongooses

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 21.72Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10376, 7676, 7104

/ 100 compat

Projected

17.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10376, 7676, 7104

Auto

8.8 53%

Teleop

4.5 27%

Endgame

3.4 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3635, 6829, 5900

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3635, 6829, 5900

Auto

14.5 10%

Teleop

105.9 74%

Endgame

23.0 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score17.8pts

Blue projected score138.9pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -121.1
Score range: -1–158
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 249 vs event baseline 104.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

113.6Season APEX281

8.8Auto14.5

4.5Teleop105.9

3.4Endgame23

61Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	20
teleop	23	117
endgame	15	53
foul	5	0
total	59	190

Result

Final score

59 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 46.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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