PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

43.74 – 126.14

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

79 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 25.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 131.1 ±12.8

9770Victory Church of Christ Robo Knights

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 19.09Rank 28Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5608Lassiter Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 16.8Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4240TroTek Warriors

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 7.85Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 227.2 ±10.4

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 82.25Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9480The Gear Bears

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 35.01Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 8.88Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9770, 5608, 4240

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9770, 5608, 4240

Auto

24.1 62%

Teleop

-4.5 0%

Endgame

19.1 49%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4026, 9480, 3344

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4026, 9480, 3344

Auto

30.7 24%

Teleop

63.2 50%

Endgame

33.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.75 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score43.7pts

Blue projected score126.1pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -82.4
Score range: 25–145
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 221 vs event baseline 103.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

131.1Season APEX227.2

24.1Auto30.7

-4.5Teleop63.2

19.1Endgame33.4

66Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	33
teleop	29	75
endgame	13	29
foul	10	5
total	79	142

Result

Final score

79 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 25.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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