PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

34.19 – 105.13

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 8.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 158.4 ±11

4112EagleBots

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 15.47Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5828Flying Riots

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 6.81Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3815NF Raiders

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 11.91Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 275.7 ±11.7

9086Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 27.1Event APEX 13.3Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 39.8Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 52.03Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4112, 5828, 3815

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4112, 5828, 3815

Auto

18.0 58%

Teleop

15.1 49%

Endgame

-2.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9086, 3329, 6925

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9086, 3329, 6925

Auto

23.2 23%

Teleop

51.8 51%

Endgame

26.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score34.2pts

Blue projected score105.1pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -70.9
Score range: 15–124
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 157 vs event baseline 104.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

158.4Season APEX275.7

18Auto23.2

15.1Teleop51.8

-2.1Endgame26.9

54Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	19
teleop	13	51
endgame	6	36
foul	5	0
total	51	106

Result

Final score

51 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 8.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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