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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

255.389.84

89%11%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

378125

Prediction correct · off by 78.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 516.1 ±9.3
Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 161.18Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 29.12Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 65Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 257 ±11.2
Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 67.31Rank 16Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 30.63Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 32.2Event APEX -8.1Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2974, 1414, 4188
82
/ 100 compat
Projected
255.3 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 2974, 1414, 4188
Auto
47.0 19%
Teleop
133.7 53%
Endgame
72.7 29%
Strengths
  • · 2974 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6772, 7451, 9057
56
/ 100 compat
Projected
89.8 pts
~0.5 RP (district)
Teams: 6772, 7451, 9057
Auto
26.9 31%
Teleop
45.4 53%
Endgame
13.4 16%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.32 · Blue 0.54
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score255.3pts
Blue projected score89.8pts
Red win probability89%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 27%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
165.5
Score range
72273
Upset likelihood
11%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 503 vs event baseline 101.1.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

516.1Season APEX257
47Auto26.9
133.7Teleop45.4
72.7Endgame13.4
8Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto6523
teleop21531
endgame9821
foul050
total378125

Result

Final score

378125

Prediction correct · off by 78.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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