Qualification · Qualification 45
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
255.3 – 89.84
89%11%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
378 – 125
Prediction correct · off by 78.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 516.1 ±9.3
Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 161.18Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 29.12Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 65Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 257 ±11.2
Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 67.31Rank 16Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 30.63Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 32.2Event APEX -8.1Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2974, 1414, 4188
82
/ 100 compatProjected
255.3 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 2974, 1414, 4188
Auto
47.0 19%
Teleop
133.7 53%
Endgame
72.7 29%
Strengths
- · 2974 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6772, 7451, 9057
56
/ 100 compatProjected
89.8 pts
~0.5 RP (district)
Teams: 6772, 7451, 9057
Auto
26.9 31%
Teleop
45.4 53%
Endgame
13.4 16%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.32 · Blue 0.54
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score255.3pts
Blue projected score89.8pts
Red win probability89%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 27%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 165.5
- Score range
- 72–273
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
516.1Season APEX257
47Auto26.9
133.7Teleop45.4
72.7Endgame13.4
8Consistency25
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 65 | 23 |
| teleop | 215 | 31 |
| endgame | 98 | 21 |
| foul | 0 | 50 |
| total | 378 | 125 |
Result
Final score
378 – 125
Prediction correct · off by 78.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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