PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

17.61 – 72.43

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

44 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 29.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 123.3 ±13.9

4459LeoTechs

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX 14.21Rank 29Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX -0.53Rank 8Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4240TroTek Warriors

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 3.93Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 164.8 ±11.7

9480The Gear Bears

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 33.24Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 43.13Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9582HHS NASA Snaggbotics

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX -3.94Rank 25Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4459, 7104, 4240

/ 100 compat

Projected

17.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4459, 7104, 4240

Auto

15.9 84%

Teleop

-6.0 0%

Endgame

9.1 48%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9480, 832, 9582

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9480, 832, 9582

Auto

13.0 17%

Teleop

37.5 50%

Endgame

24.5 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score17.6pts

Blue projected score72.4pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -54.8
Score range: 0–90
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 149 vs event baseline 101.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

123.3Season APEX164.8

15.9Auto13

-6Teleop37.5

9.1Endgame24.5

46Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	20
teleop	8	57
endgame	7	28
foul	5	0
total	44	105

Result

Final score

44 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 29.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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