PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

92.2 – 79.76

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

55 – 119

Prediction missed · off by 38.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 155.4 ±11

5608Lassiter Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 21.54Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6887Dalton Catabots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 40.92Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4468Fernbank LINKS

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 29.74Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 185.5 ±11.6

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 78.49Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7676THS RoboDogs

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX -3.88Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5828Flying Riots

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 5.15Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5608, 6887, 4468

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5608, 6887, 4468

Auto

21.0 24%

Teleop

43.9 50%

Endgame

22.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4026, 7676, 5828

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4026, 7676, 5828

Auto

30.5 38%

Teleop

33.5 42%

Endgame

15.8 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score92.2pts

Blue projected score79.8pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 12.4
Score range: 62–110
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 174 vs event baseline 102.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

155.4Season APEX185.5

21Auto30.5

43.9Teleop33.5

22.9Endgame15.8

37Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	40
teleop	22	60
endgame	13	14
foul	5	5
total	55	119

Result

Final score

55 – 119

Prediction missed · off by 38.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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