PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

69.47 – 187.37

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

108 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 45.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 249.4 ±11.7

9770Victory Church of Christ Robo Knights

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 15.1Rank 28Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 47.99Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 6.38Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 327.9 ±11.2

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 156.78Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9582HHS NASA Snaggbotics

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX -6.9Rank 25Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 37.49Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9770, 6925, 3344

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9770, 6925, 3344

Auto

20.6 29%

Teleop

29.5 42%

Endgame

20.4 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2974, 9582, 3329

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2974, 9582, 3329

Auto

29.8 16%

Teleop

105.9 56%

Endgame

52.6 28%

Strengths

· 2974 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69.5pts

Blue projected score187.4pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -117.9
Score range: 51–205
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 347 vs event baseline 99.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

249.4Season APEX327.9

20.6Auto29.8

29.5Teleop105.9

20.4Endgame52.6

47Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	58
teleop	43	104
endgame	26	77
foul	15	0
total	108	239

Result

Final score

108 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 45.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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