PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

97.94 – 82.96

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Tie

Final score

48 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 42.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 173.1 ±11.7

1414IHOT

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 37.72Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 38.73Rank 14Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

9770Victory Church of Christ Robo Knights

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 21.49Rank 28Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 173.2 ±12.2

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 14.95Rank 8Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

6772The Marist Manta Rays

Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 57.32Rank 16Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

5828Flying Riots

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 10.69Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1414, 3635, 9770

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1414, 3635, 9770

Auto

17.4 18%

Teleop

49.3 50%

Endgame

32.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7104, 6772, 5828

/ 100 compat

Projected

83 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7104, 6772, 5828

Auto

26.4 34%

Teleop

38.9 50%

Endgame

12.8 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score97.9pts

Blue projected score83pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 15
Score range: 62–119
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 96 vs event baseline 115.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

173.1Season APEX173.2

17.4Auto26.4

49.3Teleop38.9

32.1Endgame12.8

53Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	17
teleop	25	18
endgame	11	13
foul	0	0
total	48	48

Result

Final score

48 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 42.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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