PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

19.18 – 58.6

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 9.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 120.8 ±13.3

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 0.33Rank 8Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4468Fernbank LINKS

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 26.39Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9057G.I.R.L.

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX -7.54Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 122.9 ±11.7

5900The Fighting Mongooses

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 24.36Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5608Lassiter Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 21.29Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4459LeoTechs

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX 12.95Rank 29Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7104, 4468, 9057

/ 100 compat

Projected

19.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7104, 4468, 9057

Auto

4.3 22%

Teleop

4.3 22%

Endgame

11.2 57%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5900, 5608, 4459

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5900, 5608, 4459

Auto

15.5 28%

Teleop

28.7 52%

Endgame

11.5 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.06 · Blue 1.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score19.2pts

Blue projected score58.6pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -39.4
Score range: 1–77
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 85 vs event baseline 101.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

120.8Season APEX122.9

4.3Auto15.5

4.3Teleop28.7

11.2Endgame11.5

35Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	16
teleop	8	25
endgame	6	12
foul	5	0
total	32	53

Result

Final score

32 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 9.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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