PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

201.01 – 43.26

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

233 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 39.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 335.6 ±9.8

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 39.66Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 87.17Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 74.18Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 255.2 ±11.7

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 41.92Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4112EagleBots

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 14.13Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9582HHS NASA Snaggbotics

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX -12.79Rank 25Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 832, 6829, 4026

/ 100 compat

Projected

201 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 832, 6829, 4026

Auto

37.8 19%

Teleop

123.6 63%

Endgame

36.3 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6925, 4112, 9582

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.3 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6925, 4112, 9582

Auto

20.8 48%

Teleop

23.8 55%

Endgame

-1.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score201pts

Blue projected score43.3pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 157.8
Score range: 25–219
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 324 vs event baseline 99.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

335.6Season APEX255.2

37.8Auto20.8

123.6Teleop23.8

36.3Endgame-1.2

52Consistency128

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	20
teleop	128	41
endgame	48	30
foul	0	0
total	233	91

Result

Final score

233 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 39.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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