Qualification · Qualification 35
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
192.92 – 112.73
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
254 – 84
Prediction correct · off by 44.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 322.8 ±11.2
Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 35.49Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 28.4Event APEX 5.75Rank 29Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 151.68Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 161.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 19.93Rank 28Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 69.29Rank 16Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 23.51Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6887, 4459, 2974
81
/ 100 compatProjected
192.9 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 6887, 4459, 2974
Auto
30.7 16%
Teleop
106.2 56%
Endgame
54.3 28%
Strengths
- · 2974 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9770, 6772, 3815
67
/ 100 compatProjected
112.7 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9770, 6772, 3815
Auto
33.1 32%
Teleop
47.6 46%
Endgame
21.8 21%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 0.76
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score192.9pts
Blue projected score112.7pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 18%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 80.2
- Score range
- 95–211
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
322.8Season APEX161.2
30.7Auto33.1
106.2Teleop47.6
54.3Endgame21.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 52 | 27 |
| teleop | 148 | 28 |
| endgame | 54 | 29 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 254 | 84 |
Result
Final score
254 – 84
Prediction correct · off by 44.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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