PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

54.05 – 82.85

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

122 – 39

Prediction missed · off by 55.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 284.3 ±9.8

7451AvengerRobotics

Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 18.4Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9480The Gear Bears

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 27.48Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4112EagleBots

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 8.17Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 180.2 ±11

7676THS RoboDogs

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 2.63Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1414IHOT

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 35.9Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 44.32Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7451, 9480, 4112

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.1 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7451, 9480, 4112

Auto

14.9 28%

Teleop

28.9 54%

Endgame

9.9 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7676, 1414, 3329

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7676, 1414, 3329

Auto

12.6 15%

Teleop

42.9 51%

Endgame

29.1 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.16 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score54.1pts

Blue projected score82.9pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -28.8
Score range: 36–101
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 161 vs event baseline 100.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

284.3Season APEX180.2

14.9Auto12.6

28.9Teleop42.9

9.9Endgame29.1

56Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	19
teleop	78	16
endgame	22	4
foul	0	0
total	122	39

Result

Final score

122 – 39

Prediction missed · off by 55.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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