PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 164.93

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

22 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 36 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 107.6 ±12.8

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 11.03Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9582HHS NASA Snaggbotics

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX -18.76Rank 25Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX -6.62Rank 8Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 434.8 ±9.8

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 81.99Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5900The Fighting Mongooses

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 32Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 50.94Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3344, 9582, 7104

/ 100 compat

Projected

-14.3 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3344, 9582, 7104

Auto

5.6 0%

Teleop

-17.1 100%

Endgame

1.8 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4188, 5900, 6925

/ 100 compat

Projected

164.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4188, 5900, 6925

Auto

20.8 13%

Teleop

95.0 57%

Endgame

49.9 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.5 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-14.3pts

Blue projected score164.9pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -164.9
Score range: -18–183
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 137 vs event baseline 101.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

107.6Season APEX434.8

5.6Auto20.8

-17.1Teleop95

1.8Endgame49.9

155Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	52
teleop	14	62
endgame	2	1
foul	0	0
total	22	115

Result

Final score

22 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 36 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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