PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

76.84 – 84.39

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

153 – 107

Prediction missed · off by 49.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 205 ±11.7

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 22.53Rank 14Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 67.17Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9057G.I.R.L.

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX -12.86Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 139.6 ±12.8

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 34.16Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9770Victory Church of Christ Robo Knights

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 19.25Rank 28Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

10376Plutonium Panthers

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 30.98Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3635, 4026, 9057

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3635, 4026, 9057

Auto

28.7 38%

Teleop

37.9 50%

Endgame

8.5 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 832, 9770, 10376

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 832, 9770, 10376

Auto

13.9 17%

Teleop

52.6 64%

Endgame

15.2 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.33 · Blue 1.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score76.8pts

Blue projected score84.4pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -7.5
Score range: 59–102
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 260 vs event baseline 100.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

205Season APEX139.6

28.7Auto13.9

37.9Teleop52.6

8.5Endgame15.2

57Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	35
teleop	74	33
endgame	38	24
foul	0	15
total	153	107

Result

Final score

153 – 107

Prediction missed · off by 49.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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