PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

52.54 – 158.74

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

64 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 22.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 118.6 ±11.7

9086Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 27.1Event APEX 11.61Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3815NF Raiders

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 19.24Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5608Lassiter Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 21.69Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 305.4 ±9.8

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 81.86Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6887Dalton Catabots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 34.26Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 42.62Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9086, 3815, 5608

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9086, 3815, 5608

Auto

20.0 44%

Teleop

11.1 25%

Endgame

14.1 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6829, 6887, 3329

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.7 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6829, 6887, 3329

Auto

22.0 14%

Teleop

102.9 65%

Endgame

32.2 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score52.5pts

Blue projected score158.7pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -106.2
Score range: 35–177
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 256 vs event baseline 99.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

118.6Season APEX305.4

20Auto22

11.1Teleop102.9

14.1Endgame32.2

38Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	23
teleop	16	136
endgame	8	33
foul	20	0
total	64	192

Result

Final score

64 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 22.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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