PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

171.24 – 68.94

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

310 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 81.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 340 ±11.2

4459LeoTechs

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX -8.95Rank 29Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 134.77Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6772The Marist Manta Rays

Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 45.42Rank 16Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 147.2 ±12.7

5828Flying Riots

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 27.79Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4240TroTek Warriors

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 11.92Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4468Fernbank LINKS

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 29.23Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4459, 2974, 6772

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4459, 2974, 6772

Auto

40.9 25%

Teleop

82.6 50%

Endgame

41.4 25%

Strengths

· 2974 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5828, 4240, 4468

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5828, 4240, 4468

Auto

25.0 35%

Teleop

32.0 45%

Endgame

13.6 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.99 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score171.2pts

Blue projected score68.9pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 102.3
Score range: 52–188
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 354 vs event baseline 96.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

340Season APEX147.2

40.9Auto25

82.6Teleop32

41.4Endgame13.6

0Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	16
teleop	176	12
endgame	81	16
foul	0	0
total	310	44

Result

Final score

310 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 81.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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