PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

35.14 – 114.69

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

19 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 38.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 116.1 ±12.2

9582HHS NASA Snaggbotics

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX 2.92Rank 25Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7676THS RoboDogs

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 0.88Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6887Dalton Catabots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 31.34Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 288.9 ±11.7

10376Plutonium Panthers

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 25.27Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 49.39Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9480The Gear Bears

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 40.03Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9582, 7676, 6887

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9582, 7676, 6887

Auto

13.9 39%

Teleop

15.7 44%

Endgame

5.7 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10376, 6925, 9480

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10376, 6925, 9480

Auto

24.8 22%

Teleop

63.3 56%

Endgame

25.4 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score35.1pts

Blue projected score114.7pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -79.5
Score range: 14–136
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 73 vs event baseline 115.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

116.1Season APEX288.9

13.9Auto24.8

15.7Teleop63.3

5.7Endgame25.4

0Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	3	12
teleop	12	34
endgame	4	8
foul	0	0
total	19	54

Result

Final score

19 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 38.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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