PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

49.42 – 6.14

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

181 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 87.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 354.5 ±11.2

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 24.77Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10376Plutonium Panthers

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 26.89Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7451AvengerRobotics

Season APEX 143.4Event APEX -2.24Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 128.9 ±12.8

9057G.I.R.L.

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX -13.93Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4112EagleBots

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 7.65Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9770Victory Church of Christ Robo Knights

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 12.42Rank 28Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6925, 10376, 7451

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6925, 10376, 7451

Auto

22.4 48%

Teleop

20.2 44%

Endgame

3.6 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9057, 4112, 9770

/ 100 compat

Projected

6.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9057, 4112, 9770

Auto

9.6 100%

Teleop

-1.6 0%

Endgame

-4.9 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.65 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score49.4pts

Blue projected score6.1pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 43.3
Score range: -11–66
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 231 vs event baseline 95.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

354.5Season APEX128.9

22.4Auto9.6

20.2Teleop-1.6

3.6Endgame-4.9

84Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	21
teleop	116	14
endgame	37	10
foul	0	5
total	181	50

Result

Final score

181 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 87.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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