PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

59.7 – 36.06

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 54

Prediction missed · off by 22.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 116 ±11.7

9582HHS NASA Snaggbotics

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX -10.63Rank 25Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5900The Fighting Mongooses

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 48.29Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3815NF Raiders

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 22.04Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 116.7 ±11.7

5608Lassiter Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 27.2Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 7.92Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9086Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 27.1Event APEX 0.94Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9582, 5900, 3815

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9582, 5900, 3815

Auto

5.7 10%

Teleop

37.0 65%

Endgame

14.1 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5608, 3344, 9086

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5608, 3344, 9086

Auto

19.3 61%

Teleop

-9.0 0%

Endgame

21.1 67%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score59.7pts

Blue projected score36.1pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 23.6
Score range: 18–78
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 86 vs event baseline 97.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

116Season APEX116.7

5.7Auto19.3

37Teleop-9

14.1Endgame21.1

62Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	15
teleop	21	31
endgame	0	8
foul	0	0
total	32	54

Result

Final score

32 – 54

Prediction missed · off by 22.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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