PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

147.42 – 120.41

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

124 – 175

Prediction missed · off by 39 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 293.4 ±11.2

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 36.01Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4240TroTek Warriors

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 18.18Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 93.23Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 222.8 ±11

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 63.2Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4468Fernbank LINKS

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 20.85Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1414IHOT

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 36.36Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3329, 4240, 6829

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3329, 4240, 6829

Auto

35.0 24%

Teleop

84.5 58%

Endgame

27.1 18%

Strengths

· 6829 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4026, 4468, 1414

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4026, 4468, 1414

Auto

28.5 23%

Teleop

62.3 51%

Endgame

31.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.6 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score147.4pts

Blue projected score120.4pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 27
Score range: 103–164
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 299 vs event baseline 95.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

293.4Season APEX222.8

35Auto28.5

84.5Teleop62.3

27.1Endgame31.6

33Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	41
teleop	80	92
endgame	24	42
foul	0	0
total	124	175

Result

Final score

124 – 175

Prediction missed · off by 39 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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