PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

233.45 – 71.25

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

117 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 73.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 339.3 ±11.2

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 56.17Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 151.62Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 25.66Rank 8Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 176.9 ±11

7676THS RoboDogs

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX -1.11Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6887Dalton Catabots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 38.91Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6772The Marist Manta Rays

Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 33.45Rank 16Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 832, 2974, 7104

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.5 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 832, 2974, 7104

Auto

26.6 12%

Teleop

132.7 58%

Endgame

69.8 30%

Strengths

· 2974 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7676, 6887, 6772

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.3 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7676, 6887, 6772

Auto

27.0 37%

Teleop

33.9 46%

Endgame

12.4 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.24 · Blue 0.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score233.5pts

Blue projected score71.3pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 162.2
Score range: 54–250
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 219 vs event baseline 95.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

339.3Season APEX176.9

26.6Auto27

132.7Teleop33.9

69.8Endgame12.4

84Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	25
teleop	60	45
endgame	37	17
foul	0	15
total	117	102

Result

Final score

117 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 73.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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