PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

86.56 – 88.44

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

74 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 43.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 288.3 ±11

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 27.58Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 32.53Rank 14Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

5828Flying Riots

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 26.45Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 320.3 ±11.2

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 74.69Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4459LeoTechs

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX -14.32Rank 29Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9480The Gear Bears

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 28.07Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6925, 3635, 5828

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6925, 3635, 5828

Auto

25.7 29%

Teleop

45.3 52%

Endgame

16.8 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4188, 4459, 9480

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4188, 4459, 9480

Auto

20.6 23%

Teleop

42.0 47%

Endgame

26.7 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score86.6pts

Blue projected score88.4pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -1.9
Score range: 70–105
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 237 vs event baseline 94.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

288.3Season APEX320.3

25.7Auto20.6

45.3Teleop42

16.8Endgame26.7

43Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	22
teleop	53	87
endgame	6	54
foul	0	0
total	74	163

Result

Final score

74 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 43.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.