PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

34.7 – 65.86

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43 – 189

Prediction correct · off by 65.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 104.5 ±12.8

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 15.11Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10376Plutonium Panthers

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 29.3Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9582HHS NASA Snaggbotics

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX -9.71Rank 25Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 243.6 ±11.7

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 70.16Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9770Victory Church of Christ Robo Knights

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX -4.92Rank 28Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4468Fernbank LINKS

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 0.62Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3344, 10376, 9582

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3344, 10376, 9582

Auto

9.9 32%

Teleop

17.7 57%

Endgame

3.5 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6829, 9770, 4468

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6829, 9770, 4468

Auto

23.0 34%

Teleop

46.3 69%

Endgame

-1.9 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.1 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score34.7pts

Blue projected score65.9pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -31.2
Score range: 18–83
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 232 vs event baseline 93.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

104.5Season APEX243.6

9.9Auto23

17.7Teleop46.3

3.5Endgame-1.9

101Consistency141

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	7
teleop	19	131
endgame	7	51
foul	0	0
total	43	189

Result

Final score

43 – 189

Prediction correct · off by 65.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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