Qualification · Qualification 23
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
110.13 – 53.6
67%33%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
157 – 60
Prediction correct · off by 26.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 197 ±10.4
Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 34.57Rank 16Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 42.22Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 33.34Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 259.8 ±11.2
Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 29.59Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 10.26Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 13.75Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6772, 832, 5900
64
/ 100 compatProjected
110.1 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6772, 832, 5900
Auto
12.3 12%
Teleop
71.4 67%
Endgame
22.2 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6887, 7451, 4240
37
/ 100 compatProjected
53.6 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 6887, 7451, 4240
Auto
26.3 54%
Teleop
18.3 38%
Endgame
3.9 8%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.69 · Blue 0.97
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score110.1pts
Blue projected score53.6pts
Red win probability67%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 31%, blue 27%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 56.5
- Score range
- 37–127
- Upset likelihood
- 33%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
197Season APEX259.8
12.3Auto26.3
71.4Teleop18.3
22.2Endgame3.9
40Consistency69
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 29 |
| teleop | 103 | 16 |
| endgame | 23 | 15 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 157 | 60 |
Result
Final score
157 – 60
Prediction correct · off by 26.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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