PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

37.72 – 41.37

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

69 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 52 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 140.7 ±12.2

4468Fernbank LINKS

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX -15.89Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9086Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 27.1Event APEX 12.72Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 40.89Rank 14Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 286 ±11.7

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 0.19Rank 8Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 26.85Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1414IHOT

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 14.33Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4468, 9086, 3635

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4468, 9086, 3635

Auto

18.7 48%

Teleop

22.5 57%

Endgame

-2.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7104, 6925, 1414

/ 100 compat

Projected

41.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7104, 6925, 1414

Auto

8.7 20%

Teleop

7.5 17%

Endgame

27.3 63%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score37.7pts

Blue projected score41.4pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -3.6
Score range: 22–57
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 183 vs event baseline 90.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

140.7Season APEX286

18.7Auto8.7

22.5Teleop7.5

-2Endgame27.3

47Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	18
teleop	29	55
endgame	26	41
foul	0	0
total	69	114

Result

Final score

69 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 52 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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