PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

129.91 – 192.49

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

97 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 52.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 181.4 ±11.7

5900The Fighting Mongooses

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 23.76Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9086Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 27.1Event APEX 8.99Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 97.16Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 325.5 ±11.2

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 175.12Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4112EagleBots

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 15.92Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9057G.I.R.L.

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 1.45Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5900, 9086, 4026

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5900, 9086, 4026

Auto

28.8 23%

Teleop

68.9 54%

Endgame

30.3 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2974, 4112, 9057

/ 100 compat

Projected

192.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2974, 4112, 9057

Auto

38.6 21%

Teleop

95.2 53%

Endgame

46.8 26%

Strengths

· 2974 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.02 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score129.9pts

Blue projected score192.5pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -62.6
Score range: 109–213
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 217 vs event baseline 115.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

181.4Season APEX325.5

28.8Auto38.6

68.9Teleop95.2

30.3Endgame46.8

42Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	23
teleop	62	68
endgame	15	19
foul	5	10
total	97	120

Result

Final score

97 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 52.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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