Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
86.36 – 94.3
48%52%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
213 – 140
Prediction missed · off by 86.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 335.1 ±11.2
Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 64.28Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 6.51Rank 16Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 15.57Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 213.6 ±10.4
Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 16.94Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 55.73Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 21.63Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4188, 6772, 10376
60
/ 100 compatProjected
86.4 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 4188, 6772, 10376
Auto
22.7 25%
Teleop
35.1 39%
Endgame
32.9 36%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6887, 4026, 3344
64
/ 100 compatProjected
94.3 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 6887, 4026, 3344
Auto
29.3 31%
Teleop
51.8 56%
Endgame
12.1 13%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.33 · Blue 1.37
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score86.4pts
Blue projected score94.3pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 28%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -7.9
- Score range
- 71–109
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
335.1Season APEX213.6
22.7Auto29.3
35.1Teleop51.8
32.9Endgame12.1
93Consistency89
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 57 | 38 |
| teleop | 118 | 66 |
| endgame | 28 | 36 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 213 | 140 |
Result
Final score
213 – 140
Prediction missed · off by 86.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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