PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

42.31 – 125.25

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 258

Prediction correct · off by 69 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 131.3 ±12.8

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 44.43Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9582HHS NASA Snaggbotics

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX -5.82Rank 25Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9770Victory Church of Christ Robo Knights

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 3.7Rank 28Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 325.6 ±9.8

5900The Fighting Mongooses

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 8.74Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3815NF Raiders

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 0.3Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 116.21Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3329, 9582, 9770

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3329, 9582, 9770

Auto

4.5 10%

Teleop

15.1 35%

Endgame

23.9 55%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5900, 3815, 2974

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5900, 3815, 2974

Auto

27.6 23%

Teleop

56.4 47%

Endgame

35.0 29%

Strengths

· 2974 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score42.3pts

Blue projected score125.3pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -82.9
Score range: 27–140
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 295 vs event baseline 82.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

131.3Season APEX325.6

4.5Auto27.6

15.1Teleop56.4

23.9Endgame35

163Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	21
teleop	13	148
endgame	5	79
foul	0	10
total	37	258

Result

Final score

37 – 258

Prediction correct · off by 69 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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