Qualification · Qualification 17
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
85.64 – 36.25
65%35%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
95 – 141
Prediction missed · off by 57.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 180.2 ±10.4
Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 10.85Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 27.71Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 47.08Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 41.74Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 6.9Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 28.4Event APEX -12.39Rank 29Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1414, 4112, 5608
71
/ 100 compatProjected
85.6 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 1414, 4112, 5608
Auto
18.2 22%
Teleop
41.4 51%
Endgame
21.3 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 24%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6829, 5828, 4459
39
/ 100 compatProjected
36.3 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6829, 5828, 4459
Auto
12.6 34%
Teleop
23.0 62%
Endgame
1.6 4%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 24%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.58 · Blue 1.08
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score85.6pts
Blue projected score36.3pts
Red win probability65%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 24%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 49.4
- Score range
- 22–100
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
180.2Season APEX241.6
18.2Auto12.6
41.4Teleop23
21.3Endgame1.6
80Consistency137
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 32 |
| teleop | 36 | 96 |
| endgame | 27 | 13 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 95 | 141 |
Result
Final score
95 – 141
Prediction missed · off by 57.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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