PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

23.5 – 62.34

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

19 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 14.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 137.1 ±12.8

9086Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 27.1Event APEX 25.98Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9057G.I.R.L.

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX -8.61Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9480The Gear Bears

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 6.13Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 149.9 ±12.2

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 38.71Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4240TroTek Warriors

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 23.77Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7676THS RoboDogs

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX -0.14Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9086, 9057, 9480

/ 100 compat

Projected

23.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9086, 9057, 9480

Auto

2.1 10%

Teleop

11.2 55%

Endgame

7.2 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 832, 4240, 7676

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 832, 4240, 7676

Auto

9.5 17%

Teleop

21.4 37%

Endgame

26.4 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score23.5pts

Blue projected score62.3pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -38.8
Score range: 9–77
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 106 vs event baseline 81.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

137.1Season APEX149.9

2.1Auto9.5

11.2Teleop21.4

7.2Endgame26.4

71Consistency115

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	27
teleop	5	47
endgame	6	13
foul	0	0
total	19	87

Result

Final score

19 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 14.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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