Qualification · Qualification 15
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
65.69 – 84.01
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
88 – 108
Prediction correct · off by 23.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 403.4 ±9.9
Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 13.6Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 48.22Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 3.87Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 187.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 26.7Rank 14Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 13.57Rank 8Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 43.74Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4468, 4188, 7451
57
/ 100 compatProjected
65.7 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 4468, 4188, 7451
Auto
4.4 7%
Teleop
32.4 51%
Endgame
26.7 42%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3635, 7104, 3329
67
/ 100 compatProjected
84 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3635, 7104, 3329
Auto
22.1 25%
Teleop
37.7 43%
Endgame
26.9 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.53
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score65.7pts
Blue projected score84pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -18.3
- Score range
- 52–98
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
403.4Season APEX187.5
4.4Auto22.1
32.4Teleop37.7
26.7Endgame26.9
53Consistency52
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 40 | 23 |
| teleop | 40 | 63 |
| endgame | 8 | 22 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 88 | 108 |
Result
Final score
88 – 108
Prediction correct · off by 23.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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