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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

65.6984.01

44%56%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

88108

Prediction correct · off by 23.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 403.4 ±9.9
Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 13.6Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 48.22Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 3.87Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 187.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 26.7Rank 14Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 13.57Rank 8Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 43.74Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4468, 4188, 7451
57
/ 100 compat
Projected
65.7 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 4468, 4188, 7451
Auto
4.4 7%
Teleop
32.4 51%
Endgame
26.7 42%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3635, 7104, 3329
67
/ 100 compat
Projected
84 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3635, 7104, 3329
Auto
22.1 25%
Teleop
37.7 43%
Endgame
26.9 31%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.53
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score65.7pts
Blue projected score84pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-18.3
Score range
5298
Upset likelihood
44%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
High scoring

Combined score 196 vs event baseline 80.5.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

403.4Season APEX187.5
4.4Auto22.1
32.4Teleop37.7
26.7Endgame26.9
53Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto4023
teleop4063
endgame822
foul00
total88108

Result

Final score

88108

Prediction correct · off by 23.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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