Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.12142.46

22%78%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

158175

Prediction correct · off by 75.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 380.9 ±9.8
Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 20.14Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 22.26Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 171.5Event APEX -3.28Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 309.5 ±12.4
Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 35.53Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 88.32Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 27.1Event APEX 18.61Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5608, 6829, 6925
36
/ 100 compat
Projected
39.1 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 5608, 6829, 6925
Auto
11.5 36%
Teleop
23.2 72%
Endgame
-2.6 0%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4240, 2974, 9086
86
/ 100 compat
Projected
142.5 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 4240, 2974, 9086
Auto
17.1 13%
Teleop
72.9 53%
Endgame
46.6 34%
Strengths
  • · 2974 anchors offense
  • · Reliable endgame stack
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.81 · Blue 1.97
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score39.1pts
Blue projected score142.5pts
Red win probability22%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-103.3
Score range
25156
Upset likelihood
22%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
High scoring

Combined score 333 vs event baseline 76.3.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

380.9Season APEX309.5
11.5Auto17.1
23.2Teleop72.9
-2.6Endgame46.6
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3850
teleop8270
endgame3850
foul05
total158175

Result

Final score

158175

Prediction correct · off by 75.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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