PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

19.98 – 111.83

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 12.4 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 208.3 ±11.7

7451AvengerRobotics

Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 15.88Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9770Victory Church of Christ Robo Knights

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 8.67Rank 28Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

7676THS RoboDogs

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX -4.57Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 194 ±11.7

3815NF Raiders

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 12.67Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 18.83Rank 8Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 80.33Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7451, 9770, 7676

/ 100 compat

Projected

20 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7451, 9770, 7676

Auto

5.3 34%

Teleop

4.4 28%

Endgame

5.8 37%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3815, 7104, 4026

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3815, 7104, 4026

Auto

22.0 20%

Teleop

54.2 49%

Endgame

34.4 31%

Strengths

· 4026 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.72 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score20pts

Blue projected score111.8pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -91.8
Score range: 6–126
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 131 vs event baseline 77.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

208.3Season APEX194

5.3Auto22

4.4Teleop54.2

5.8Endgame34.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	39
teleop	2	36
endgame	14	19
foul	0	5
total	32	99

Result

Final score

32 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 12.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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