PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

23.54 – 62.18

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

94 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 59.6 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 204.5 ±10.4

9480The Gear Bears

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 7.74Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5608Lassiter Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 10.53Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6772The Marist Manta Rays

Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 5.27Rank 16Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 182.5 ±10.4

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 10.03Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1414IHOT

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 12.37Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 39.78Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9480, 5608, 6772

/ 100 compat

Projected

23.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9480, 5608, 6772

Auto

7.3 41%

Teleop

7.4 42%

Endgame

3.0 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3344, 1414, 832

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3344, 1414, 832

Auto

15.6 29%

Teleop

37.0 69%

Endgame

1.1 2%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.05 · Blue 1.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score23.5pts

Blue projected score62.2pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -38.6
Score range: 10–76
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 205 vs event baseline 77.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

204.5Season APEX182.5

7.3Auto15.6

7.4Teleop37

3Endgame1.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	19
teleop	40	64
endgame	31	28
foul	0	0
total	94	111

Result

Final score

94 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 59.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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