PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

166.47 – 127.58

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

150 – 84

Prediction correct · off by 30 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 357.6 ±9.8

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 88.19Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 31.87Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 46.41Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 260.6 ±11.2

4240TroTek Warriors

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 8.42Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 11.92Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 107.24Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4188, 3329, 832

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4188, 3329, 832

Auto

38.6 23%

Teleop

90.7 55%

Endgame

36.7 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4240, 3344, 6829

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4240, 3344, 6829

Auto

25.1 21%

Teleop

66.2 54%

Endgame

30.4 25%

Strengths

· 6829 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score166.5pts

Blue projected score127.6pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 38.9
Score range: 107–187
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 234 vs event baseline 115.7.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

357.6Season APEX260.6

38.6Auto25.1

90.7Teleop66.2

36.7Endgame30.4

1Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	26
teleop	76	52
endgame	51	1
foul	0	5
total	150	84

Result

Final score

150 – 84

Prediction correct · off by 30 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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