PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

253.42 – 182.12

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

291 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 47.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 475.6 ±9.9

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 171.63Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7676THS RoboDogs

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX -2.82Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 84.61Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.7 ±10.4

3815NF Raiders

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 28.57Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 51.63Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 101.92Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2974, 7676, 4188

/ 100 compat

Projected

253.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2974, 7676, 4188

Auto

49.6 20%

Teleop

140.6 56%

Endgame

59.7 24%

Strengths

· 2974 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3815, 832, 4026

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3815, 832, 4026

Auto

44.5 25%

Teleop

96.9 55%

Endgame

35.0 20%

Strengths

· 4026 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score253.4pts

Blue projected score182.1pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 71.3
Score range: 162–273
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 416 vs event baseline 113.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

475.6Season APEX217.7

49.6Auto44.5

140.6Teleop96.9

59.7Endgame35

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	40
teleop	138	73
endgame	84	12
foul	10	0
total	291	125

Result

Final score

291 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 47.4 pts

Match videos

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