Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

397.59 – 356.75

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

411 – 388

Prediction correct · off by 22.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 565.5 ±9.3

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 25.89Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 162.11Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 209.59Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 524 ±9.3

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 58.37Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 133.3Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4189Chargers

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 165.08Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3635, 6919, 1002

/ 100 compat

Projected

397.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3635, 6919, 1002

Auto

88.9 23%

Teleop

196.1 50%

Endgame

103.5 27%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8736, 2974, 4189

/ 100 compat

Projected

356.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8736, 2974, 4189

Auto

70.7 20%

Teleop

203.0 58%

Endgame

79.2 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score397.6pts

Blue projected score356.8pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 40.8
Score range: 318–437
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 799 vs event baseline 219.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

565.5Season APEX524

88.9Auto70.7

196.1Teleop203

103.5Endgame79.2

34Consistency81

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	88	91
teleop	184	236
endgame	134	61
foul	5	0
total	411	388

Result

Final score

411 – 388

Prediction correct · off by 22.3 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.