Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

200 – 218.15

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

243 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 34.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 242.6 ±10.4

1683Techno Titans

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 61Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 89.27Rank 15Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 49.73Rank 30Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 287 ±9.8

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 30.73Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 94.05Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 93.37Rank 14Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1683, 6023, 5109

/ 100 compat

Projected

200 pts

~1.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1683, 6023, 5109

Auto

36.2 19%

Teleop

109.7 57%

Endgame

46.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3344, 6705, 6829

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3344, 6705, 6829

Auto

37.7 17%

Teleop

125.2 58%

Endgame

53.7 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.16 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score200pts

Blue projected score218.2pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -18.2
Score range: 161–257
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 488 vs event baseline 217.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

242.6Season APEX287

36.2Auto37.7

109.7Teleop125.2

46.9Endgame53.7

83Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	90
teleop	121	87
endgame	82	48
foul	0	20
total	243	245

Result

Final score

243 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 34.9 pts

Match videos

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