Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

482.68 – 185.18

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

558 – 273

Prediction correct · off by 81.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 649.1 ±9.3

4509Mechanical Bulls

Season APEX 69.1Event APEX 30.55Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 228.83Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 223.3Rank 1Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.6 ±10.4

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 44.7Rank 30Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 83.36Rank 15Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1683Techno Titans

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 57.12Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4509, 1833, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

482.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4509, 1833, 1771

Auto

111.2 23%

Teleop

277.2 58%

Endgame

90.9 19%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5109, 6023, 1683

/ 100 compat

Projected

185.2 pts

~0.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5109, 6023, 1683

Auto

34.6 20%

Teleop

100.9 57%

Endgame

40.3 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score482.7pts

Blue projected score185.2pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 297.5
Score range: 147–521
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 831 vs event baseline 211.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

649.1Season APEX242.6

111.2Auto34.6

277.2Teleop100.9

90.9Endgame40.3

65Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	136	51
teleop	358	155
endgame	49	67
foul	15	0
total	558	273

Result

Final score

558 – 273

Prediction correct · off by 81.6 pts

Match videos

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