Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

396.2 – 324.63

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

491 – 396

Prediction correct · off by 83.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 565.5 ±9.3

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 24.67Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 161.39Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 210.14Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 537.2 ±9.3

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 143.19Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 115.65Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 65.79Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3635, 6919, 1002

/ 100 compat

Projected

396.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3635, 6919, 1002

Auto

88.1 23%

Teleop

191.0 49%

Endgame

109.4 28%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1261, 4188, 8080

/ 100 compat

Projected

324.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1261, 4188, 8080

Auto

67.9 22%

Teleop

166.5 54%

Endgame

74.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.89 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score396.2pts

Blue projected score324.6pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 71.6
Score range: 284–437
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 887 vs event baseline 225.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

565.5Season APEX537.2

88.1Auto67.9

191Teleop166.5

109.4Endgame74.2

45Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	100	93
teleop	263	172
endgame	113	116
foul	15	15
total	491	396

Result

Final score

491 – 396

Prediction correct · off by 83.1 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.