Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

171.58 – 197.49

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

220 – 265

Prediction correct · off by 58 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 218.6 ±10.4

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 35.87Rank 15Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1683Techno Titans

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 107.71Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 28Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 376 ±9.8

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 28Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 140.29Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 29.2Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6023, 1683, 3344

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6023, 1683, 3344

Auto

27.5 16%

Teleop

97.8 59%

Endgame

41.7 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3329, 2974, 8577

/ 100 compat

Projected

197.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3329, 2974, 8577

Auto

36.5 19%

Teleop

114.2 59%

Endgame

43.7 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.12 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score171.6pts

Blue projected score197.5pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -25.9
Score range: 133–236
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-18
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 485 vs event baseline 216.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

218.6Season APEX376

27.5Auto36.5

97.8Teleop114.2

41.7Endgame43.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	37
teleop	113	167
endgame	75	61
foul	5	0
total	220	265

Result

Final score

220 – 265

Prediction correct · off by 58 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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