Qualification · Qualification 88
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
259.96 – 136.21
82%18%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
271 – 116
Prediction correct · off by 15.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 478.7 ±9.3
Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 138.14Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 89Rank 11Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 32.82Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 235.4 ±10.4
Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 23.01Rank 41Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 53.53Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 59.67Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2974, 4026, 7451
73
/ 100 compatProjected
260 pts
~2.1 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 2974, 4026, 7451
Auto
55.6 22%
Teleop
143.2 56%
Endgame
54.9 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3091, 4112, 8080
46
/ 100 compatProjected
136.2 pts
~0.7 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 3091, 4112, 8080
Auto
25.7 19%
Teleop
81.9 59%
Endgame
30.7 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.06 · Blue 0.67
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score260pts
Blue projected score136.2pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample210alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 25%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 123.7
- Score range
- 98–298
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
478.7Season APEX235.4
55.6Auto25.7
143.2Teleop81.9
54.9Endgame30.7
53Consistency14
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 72 | 34 |
| teleop | 152 | 60 |
| endgame | 47 | 22 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 271 | 116 |
Result
Final score
271 – 116
Prediction correct · off by 15.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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