Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 86

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

247.22 – 269.17

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

418 – 339

Prediction missed · off by 120.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 381.4 ±9.8

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 190.44Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 15.13Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1414IHOT

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 41.65Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 395.2 ±9.8

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 60.92Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 131.02Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 77.23Rank 15Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1002, 3344, 1414

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1002, 3344, 1414

Auto

65.9 27%

Teleop

128.2 53%

Endgame

49.7 20%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8736, 1261, 6023

/ 100 compat

Projected

269.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8736, 1261, 6023

Auto

57.8 22%

Teleop

138.8 54%

Endgame

62.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score247.2pts

Blue projected score269.2pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -22
Score range: 209–307
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 757 vs event baseline 209.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

381.4Season APEX395.2

65.9Auto57.8

128.2Teleop138.8

49.7Endgame62.1

93Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	99	59
teleop	211	164
endgame	108	101
foul	0	15
total	418	339

Result

Final score

418 – 339

Prediction missed · off by 120.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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