Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 85

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

160.34 – 273.6

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

145 – 266

Prediction correct · off by 11.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 229.9 ±10.4

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 24.68Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1683Techno Titans

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 60.08Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 75.58Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 418.2 ±9.8

9522Archimedes

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 14.1Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 229.46Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5219TeknoSquad 5219

Season APEX 67.2Event APEX 30.04Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3635, 1683, 832

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3635, 1683, 832

Auto

30.7 20%

Teleop

79.1 51%

Endgame

44.3 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9522, 1833, 5219

/ 100 compat

Projected

273.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9522, 1833, 5219

Auto

63.8 24%

Teleop

148.8 57%

Endgame

49.6 19%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.66 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score160.3pts

Blue projected score273.6pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -113.3
Score range: 122–312
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 411 vs event baseline 209.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

229.9Season APEX418.2

30.7Auto63.8

79.1Teleop148.8

44.3Endgame49.6

66Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	68
teleop	62	135
endgame	45	63
foul	0	0
total	145	266

Result

Final score

145 – 266

Prediction correct · off by 11.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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