Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 84

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

228.58 – 182.35

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

227 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 44 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 238 ±10.4

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 40.56Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 91.7Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 96.32Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 348 ±9.3

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 10.35Rank 44Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 9.45Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 162.55Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8577, 6705, 8866

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8577, 6705, 8866

Auto

42.1 19%

Teleop

131.5 58%

Endgame

52.0 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11214, 6905, 6919

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 11214, 6905, 6919

Auto

32.5 18%

Teleop

81.2 46%

Endgame

63.9 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.7 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score228.6pts

Blue projected score182.4pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 46.2
Score range: 144–267
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 323 vs event baseline 210.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

238Season APEX348

42.1Auto32.5

131.5Teleop81.2

52Endgame63.9

24Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	58
teleop	117	38
endgame	62	0
foul	5	0
total	227	96

Result

Final score

227 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 44 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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